Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -188 NU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +8 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | MINN -4.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -6.0 (-14.0) | 144.7 (-18.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -4.7 (-12.7) | 144.4 (-18.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -6.2 (-14.2) | 146.9 (-20.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -6.3 (-14.3) | 143.8 (-17.8) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MINN 67 – 66 NU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MINN 84 – 78 NU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | NU 72 – 64 MINN |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NU 75 – 63 MINN |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NU 90 – 66 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 6-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 0-10 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#56) | 7.4 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#38) | 0.69 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#26) | 1.61 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#85) | 0.464 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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