Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO +110 PRST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -0.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -0.3 (+2.3) | 132.8 (-2.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -1.0 (+3.0) | 133.7 (-3.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -2.0 (+4.0) | 133.5 (-3.5) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -0.3 (+2.3) | 134.1 (-4.1) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCO 77 – 65 PRST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | PRST 76 – 73 UNCO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRST 82 – 71 UNCO |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UNCO 72 – 69 PRST |
| Feb 16, 2024 | PRST 82 – 72 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 6-8 |
| Home | 6-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-5 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#260) | -3.7 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#290) | -1.65 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#310) | -2.31 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#287) | 0.399 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 35.7% |
Game Analysis
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