Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | STAN +163 ORE -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -0.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -1.5 (-4.5) | 138.6 (+0.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -0.2 (-3.2) | 136.9 (+2.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -0.9 (-3.9) | 139.9 (-0.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -1.2 (-4.2) | 138.8 (+0.2) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | ORE 76 – 61 STAN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | ORE 78 – 65 STAN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | ORE 73 – 68 STAN |
| Jan 22, 2023 | STAN 71 – 64 ORE |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ORE 68 – 60 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 21-7 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 5-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#63) | 10.5 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#64) | 1.91 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#65) | 2.41 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#47) | 0.575 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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