Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -7.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -7.0 (-2.0) | 137.6 (+3.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -6.9 (-1.9) | 141.4 (-0.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -6.5 (-1.5) | 141.3 (-0.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -6.2 (-1.2) | 139.0 (+2.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | ORE 76 – 61 STAN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | ORE 78 – 65 STAN |
| Jan 22, 2023 | STAN 71 – 64 ORE |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ORE 68 – 60 STAN |
| Dec 13, 2021 | STAN 72 – 69 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#41) | 6.5 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#75) | 0.15 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#66) | 0.47 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#69) | 0.476 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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