Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | STAN +138 ORE -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -1.4 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -2.4 (+9.4) | 133.4 (+1.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -3.6 (+10.6) | 139.0 (-4.0) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -2.3 (+9.3) | 138.9 (-3.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -2.8 (+9.8) | 136.5 (-1.5) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | ORE 76 – 61 STAN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | ORE 78 – 65 STAN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | ORE 73 – 68 STAN |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ORE 68 – 60 STAN |
| Dec 13, 2021 | STAN 72 – 69 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 15-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#107) | 9.6 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#233) | 1.30 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#204) | 1.74 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#254) | 0.561 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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