And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Stanford Cardinal
71 64
FINAL Conference
Oregon Ducks
Pac-12 Conference · Maples Pavilion · January 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ORE -3.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money STAN +138 / ORE -175
Model Predictions
Spread Total STAN win
Actual STAN +7 135 Won
Massey ORE -1.4 (+8.4)
Massey Totals 135.9 (-0.9)
Bradley-Terry 22%
Weighted B-T 20%
Baseline Plus ML ORE -2.8 (+9.8) 136.5 (-1.5) 38%
Baseline ML ORE -2.3 (+9.3) 138.9 (-3.9) 40%
Baseline Tuned ML ORE -3.6 (+10.6) 139.0 (-4.0) 37%
Efficiency Plus ML ORE -2.4 (+9.4) 133.4 (+1.6) 46%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 22, 2024 ORE 7661 STAN
Feb 23, 2024 ORE 7865 STAN
Mar 4, 2023 ORE 7368 STAN
Feb 11, 2022 ORE 6860 STAN
Dec 13, 2021 STAN 7269 ORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STAN ORE
Overall 14-19 21-15
Conference 7-13 12-8
Home 9-6 15-6
Away 2-8 4-6
Neutral 3-5 2-3
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.3 70.6
Avg Pts Against 68.4 66.3
Massey 4.5 (#107) 9.6 (#49)
Bradley-Terry -0.58 (#233) 1.30 (#69)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.37 (#204) 1.74 (#68)
RPI 0.461 (#254) 0.561 (#76)
Shooting & Four Factors STAN ORE
FG% 43.3% 45.1%
3PT% 31.4% 30.2%
REB / G 34.6 37.1
OREB / G 10.9 11.2
AST / TO 1.01 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 51.2%
TOV% 19.8% 18.9%
ORB% 31.6% 33.1%
FT Rate 20.7% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 47.5%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 17.4%
DRB% 76.6% 72.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.9% 17.3%

Game Analysis

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