Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | STAN +175 ORE -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -8.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -5.9 (-9.1) | 145.0 (-8.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -8.0 (-7.0) | 146.2 (-9.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -7.0 (-8.0) | 147.5 (-10.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -7.0 (-8.0) | 147.1 (-10.1) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | ORE 78 – 65 STAN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | ORE 73 – 68 STAN |
| Jan 22, 2023 | STAN 71 – 64 ORE |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ORE 68 – 60 STAN |
| Dec 13, 2021 | STAN 72 – 69 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 17-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#84) | 14.4 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#74) | 3.75 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#97) | 5.31 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#75) | 0.693 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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