Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -420 STAN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +8 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -7.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -6.8 (+1.2) | 137.4 (-9.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -7.3 (+0.7) | 141.3 (-13.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -7.3 (+0.7) | 141.6 (-13.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -7.4 (+0.6) | 138.5 (-10.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | ORE 76 – 61 STAN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | ORE 78 – 65 STAN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | ORE 73 – 68 STAN |
| Jan 22, 2023 | STAN 71 – 64 ORE |
| Dec 13, 2021 | STAN 72 – 69 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#51) | 5.3 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#56) | 1.92 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#47) | 2.18 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#41) | 0.578 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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