Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | STAN -138 ORE +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -0.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -0.6 (-13.6) | 147.4 (-4.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -1.0 (-14.0) | 147.8 (-4.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -0.6 (-13.6) | 147.8 (-4.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -0.4 (-13.4) | 149.4 (-6.4) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | ORE 76 – 61 STAN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | ORE 73 – 68 STAN |
| Jan 22, 2023 | STAN 71 – 64 ORE |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ORE 68 – 60 STAN |
| Dec 13, 2021 | STAN 72 – 69 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#93) | 8.9 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#123) | 1.63 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#115) | 1.87 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#163) | 0.571 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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