Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -2.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -2.0 (+1.0) | 135.3 (+5.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -0.5 (+2.5) | 141.3 (-0.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -0.3 (+3.3) | 143.1 (-2.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -0.3 (+3.3) | 138.9 (+2.1) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | ORE 76 – 61 STAN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | ORE 78 – 65 STAN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | ORE 73 – 68 STAN |
| Jan 22, 2023 | STAN 71 – 64 ORE |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ORE 68 – 60 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#148) | 3.0 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#155) | 0.29 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#153) | 1.10 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#142) | 0.517 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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