Betting Lines
| Spread | ILL -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ILL -1000 NEB +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILL +16 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | ILL -19.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILL -15.9 (+0.1) | 148.7 (+7.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILL -14.7 (+1.3) | 148.6 (+7.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILL -17.2 (-1.2) | 149.7 (+6.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILL -17.2 (-1.2) | 148.3 (+7.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ILL 78 – 69 NEB |
| Dec 13, 2025 | NEB 83 – 80 ILL |
| Jan 31, 2025 | NEB 80 – 74 ILL |
| Mar 16, 2024 | ILL 98 – 87 NEB |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ILL 87 – 84 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILL | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 7-20 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 3-16 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-9 |
| Away | 9-3 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 19.8 (#4) | 3.0 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#9) | -0.26 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.16 (#6) | -0.14 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#26) | 0.469 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILL | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.