Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SBU -1200 GW +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +47 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -15.2 (+31.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -12.4 (+34.6) | 139.6 (-10.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -12.7 (+34.3) | 139.8 (-10.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -13.7 (+33.3) | 139.7 (-10.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -13.2 (+33.8) | 138.2 (-9.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | GW 91 – 82 SBU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | GW 62 – 52 SBU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | GW 86 – 75 SBU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | GW 83 – 81 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-5 | 5-12 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 3-5 |
| Home | 8-1 | 3-6 |
| Away | 3-3 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#45) | -2.2 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#36) | -1.20 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#38) | -0.85 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#17) | 0.429 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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