Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | SBU -185 GW +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +10 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -6.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -6.2 (-16.2) | 131.2 (-17.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -5.1 (-15.1) | 131.3 (-17.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -5.3 (-15.3) | 132.7 (-18.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -5.4 (-15.4) | 132.6 (-18.6) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | GW 91 – 82 SBU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | GW 86 – 75 SBU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | GW 83 – 81 SBU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | SBU 88 – 41 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#98) | 2.0 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#85) | 0.30 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#79) | 0.45 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#72) | 0.506 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.