Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | IDST +150 MONT -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +6 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -3.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -2.9 (-3.1) | 131.9 (-9.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -1.0 (-5.0) | 130.1 (-8.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -2.7 (-3.3) | 131.8 (-9.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -2.4 (-3.6) | 131.5 (-9.5) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | IDST 73 – 69 MONT |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MONT 69 – 60 IDST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | MONT 81 – 68 IDST |
| Jan 19, 2025 | IDST 86 – 62 MONT |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MONT 72 – 58 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-11 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#277) | -1.7 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#270) | -1.26 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#299) | -1.36 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#254) | 0.472 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 25.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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