Betting Lines
| Spread | DEN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | DEN +100 OMA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -1.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -0.3 (-3.7) | 144.5 (+11.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -1.2 (-2.8) | 144.9 (+11.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -0.8 (-3.2) | 147.5 (+8.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -0.7 (-3.3) | 144.2 (+11.8) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | OMA 83 – 76 DEN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | OMA 84 – 82 DEN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | OMA 78 – 69 DEN |
| Jan 16, 2025 | OMA 80 – 62 DEN |
| Mar 12, 2024 | DEN 66 – 63 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-19 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 3-11 |
| Home | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Away | 0-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -14.6 (#337) | -11.0 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.89 (#346) | -2.74 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.75 (#343) | -3.65 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.329 (#349) | 0.409 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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