Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SDSU -300 BOIS +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -5.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -6.2 (+5.8) | 139.5 (+4.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -5.0 (+7.0) | 134.2 (+9.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -5.9 (+6.1) | 136.9 (+7.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -6.2 (+5.8) | 138.7 (+5.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BOIS 86 – 77 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 52 SDSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDSU 64 – 47 BOIS |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SDSU 76 – 68 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-2 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#23) | 11.1 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#35) | 2.39 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#42) | 2.66 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#15) | 0.630 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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