Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -110 DREX +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +6 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -3.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -3.0 (-9.0) | 139.3 (+22.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -3.6 (-9.6) | 142.9 (+19.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -3.1 (-9.1) | 143.5 (+18.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -3.1 (-9.1) | 142.6 (+19.4) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2022 | DREX 72 – 66 JMU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | DREX 88 – 82 JMU |
| Jan 31, 2021 | JMU 73 – 64 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 4-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 3-2 |
| Away | 3-3 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#133) | 1.2 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#125) | -0.16 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#142) | -0.14 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#83) | 0.485 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.