Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -120 DREX +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -1.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -0.9 (+8.1) | 136.5 (+0.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -1.9 (+7.1) | 139.6 (-2.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -0.9 (+8.1) | 139.8 (-2.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -0.9 (+8.1) | 140.9 (-3.9) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2022 | DREX 72 – 66 JMU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | DREX 88 – 82 JMU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | DREX 84 – 78 JMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 4-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 3-2 |
| Away | 3-3 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#157) | 1.9 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#171) | -0.32 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#188) | -0.27 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#139) | 0.450 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 79.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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