Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +6 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -1.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -0.8 (-6.8) | 147.9 (+22.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -1.7 (-7.7) | 150.2 (+19.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -1.1 (-7.1) | 151.5 (+18.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -0.7 (-6.7) | 151.9 (+18.1) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2022 | DREX 72 – 66 JMU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | DREX 84 – 78 JMU |
| Jan 31, 2021 | JMU 73 – 64 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#195) | 0.3 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#142) | -0.13 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#162) | -0.18 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#150) | 0.471 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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