Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +6 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -6.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -4.6 (+1.4) | 147.8 (-9.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -4.9 (+1.1) | 151.6 (-13.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -4.4 (+1.6) | 152.2 (-14.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -4.4 (+1.6) | 151.7 (-13.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2022 | DREX 88 – 82 JMU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | DREX 84 – 78 JMU |
| Jan 31, 2021 | JMU 73 – 64 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#143) | -2.0 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#159) | 0.17 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#166) | -0.15 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#180) | 0.506 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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