Green Bay
Phoenix
84
–
89
2OT
FINAL
Conference
Progressive Horizon League
Purdue Fort Wayne
Mastodons
Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | GB -200 PFW +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +5 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | GB -4.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -4.2 (-9.2) | 145.8 (+27.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -4.0 (-9.0) | 142.9 (+30.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -6.2 (-11.2) | 146.9 (+26.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GB -4.3 (-9.3) | 148.2 (+24.8) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | GB 64 – 56 PFW |
| Feb 13, 2026 | GB 76 – 59 PFW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GB 72 – 54 PFW |
| Feb 9, 2025 | PFW 89 – 74 GB |
| Dec 29, 2024 | PFW 83 – 67 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-17 | 8-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#271) | -8.8 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#267) | -1.49 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#262) | -1.82 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#259) | 0.402 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 58.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 24.8% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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