Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -150 USC +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +18 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -1.6 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -2.8 (+15.2) | 136.9 (+5.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -1.4 (+16.6) | 132.5 (+9.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -3.2 (+14.8) | 136.2 (+5.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -2.8 (+15.2) | 137.5 (+4.5) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | COLO 92 – 89 USC |
| Jan 14, 2024 | COLO 68 – 58 USC |
| Feb 24, 2023 | USC 84 – 65 COLO |
| Jan 13, 2023 | USC 68 – 61 COLO |
| Jan 21, 2022 | USC 61 – 58 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#17) | 15.4 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#52) | 2.47 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#44) | 3.34 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#31) | 0.619 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.