Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -175 IUIN +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -4.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -3.5 (+8.5) | 150.5 (+5.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -2.6 (+9.4) | 149.8 (+6.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -4.0 (+8.0) | 153.7 (+2.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -3.2 (+8.8) | 152.1 (+3.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MILW 92 – 88 IUIN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MILW 95 – 83 IUIN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MILW 84 – 80 IUIN |
| Dec 29, 2024 | MILW 88 – 81 IUIN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | MILW 75 – 70 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-12 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 4-5 | 3-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#251) | -7.3 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#252) | -0.73 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#260) | -1.21 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#269) | 0.474 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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