Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | STET -225 UNF +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | STET -5.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -4.3 (-9.3) | 147.1 (+5.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -4.0 (-9.0) | 144.3 (+8.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -4.5 (-9.5) | 145.0 (+8.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STET -4.4 (-9.4) | 148.0 (+5.0) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | STET 76 – 71 UNF |
| Jan 30, 2026 | STET 84 – 77 UNF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | UNF 79 – 71 STET |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UNF 101 – 100 STET |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNF 78 – 59 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 8-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-6 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#264) | -8.8 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#273) | -1.69 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#261) | -1.96 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#264) | 0.428 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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