Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -450 RID +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +14 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -11.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -9.8 (+4.2) | 134.5 (-16.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -8.1 (+5.9) | 131.7 (-13.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -9.8 (+4.2) | 136.5 (-18.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -10.1 (+3.9) | 135.1 (-17.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 6-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-3 | 1-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#174) | -9.3 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#144) | -1.49 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#143) | -1.82 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#120) | 0.428 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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