Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -110 APP +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +6 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | APP -0.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -1.3 (-7.3) | 133.8 (+28.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -0.4 (-6.4) | 131.3 (+30.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -0.7 (-6.7) | 134.9 (+27.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -1.0 (-7.0) | 133.9 (+28.1) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | APP 89 – 74 GASO |
| Feb 12, 2026 | APP 81 – 65 GASO |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GASO 61 – 59 APP |
| Feb 20, 2025 | APP 79 – 74 GASO |
| Mar 9, 2024 | APP 85 – 80 GASO |
Game Analysis
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