Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | EIU -225 SEMO +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +6 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -1.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+40.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -1.7 (-7.7) | 144.2 (+37.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -0.1 (-6.1) | 142.2 (+39.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -1.4 (-7.4) | 143.6 (+38.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -1.7 (-7.7) | 145.0 (+37.0) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | SEMO 77 – 59 EIU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 59 EIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | EIU 73 – 58 SEMO |
| Dec 20, 2024 | SEMO 79 – 72 EIU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EIU 75 – 57 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-11 |
| Home | 5-7 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#290) | -7.7 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#297) | -1.63 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#306) | -2.10 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#277) | 0.434 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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