Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -700 TNST +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +14 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -13.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -11.2 (+2.8) | 134.6 (-0.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -11.4 (+2.6) | 133.4 (+0.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -11.0 (+3.0) | 135.0 (-1.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -11.5 (+2.5) | 135.5 (-1.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TNST 93 – 67 MORE |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MORE 94 – 86 TNST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | TNST 105 – 100 MORE |
| Feb 28, 2025 | TNST 64 – 55 MORE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | MORE 74 – 68 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 4-19 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-1 | 4-8 |
| Away | 8-5 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#155) | -10.9 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#122) | -2.94 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#134) | -3.41 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#59) | 0.386 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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