Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -1200 UAPB +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -16.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -14.6 (-0.6) | 141.7 (+2.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -13.8 (+0.2) | 141.7 (+2.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -15.1 (-1.1) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -15.3 (-1.3) | 141.5 (+2.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TXSO 83 – 64 UAPB |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UAPB 74 – 66 TXSO |
| Feb 25, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 56 UAPB |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAPB 69 – 68 TXSO |
| Feb 27, 2024 | TXSO 77 – 70 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 4-21 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 3-12 |
| Home | 8-2 | 2-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#245) | -18.9 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#194) | -2.72 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#245) | -4.13 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#171) | 0.387 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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