Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -30.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -100000 SCU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +14 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -29.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -21.2 (-7.2) | 154.8 (+9.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -21.1 (-7.1) | 157.4 (+6.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -26.2 (-12.2) | 157.5 (+6.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -25.5 (-11.5) | 158.6 (+5.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | GONZ 79 – 68 SCU |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GONZ 94 – 86 SCU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 77 SCU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GONZ 95 – 76 SCU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SCU 103 – 99 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 4-5 |
| Home | 12-0 | 6-3 |
| Away | 7-0 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 25.4 (#1) | -2.1 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.38 (#1) | 0.88 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.08 (#2) | 0.43 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.658 (#1) | 0.538 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.4% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.1% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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