That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Northeast Conference · William H. Pitt Center · February 26, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread FDU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money SHU +110 / FDU +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHU win
Actual FDU +13 151 Lost
Massey SHU -3.1 (-16.1) — —
Massey Totals — 161.4 (-10.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 78% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 75% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SHU -3.0 (-16.0) 156.3 (-5.3) 66% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHU -2.9 (-15.9) 153.8 (-2.8) 61% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SHU -2.8 (-15.8) 155.7 (-4.7) 67% ✗
Baseline ML SHU -3.4 (-16.4) 157.4 (-6.4) 67% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2024 SHU 99 – 91 FDU
Jan 27, 2024 FDU 93 – 91 SHU
Feb 17, 2023 SHU 94 – 86 FDU
Jan 21, 2023 SHU 92 – 85 FDU
Feb 12, 2022 FDU 82 – 75 SHU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHU FDU
Overall 9-9 9-15
Conference 9-7 8-10
Home 4-3 4-6
Away 5-6 5-9
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.3 75.0
Avg Pts Against 75.0 78.8
Massey -5.1 (#253) -5.8 (#263)
Bradley-Terry 0.16 (#156) -0.68 (#227)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.27 (#190) -0.88 (#226)
RPI 0.518 (#142) 0.459 (#241)
Shooting & Four Factors SHU FDU
FG% 41.5% 45.0%
3PT% 32.3% 38.3%
REB / G 37.6 33.9
OREB / G 11.1 10.3
AST / TO 1.00 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.0% 51.9%
TOV% 18.8% 19.6%
ORB% 29.8% 28.6%
FT Rate 26.0% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.5% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 14.7% 19.2%
DRB% 69.0% 66.5%
Opp FT Rate 18.6% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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