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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
20–11 on winners
spread MAE 10.5
31 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duquesne
@
La Salle
|
-1.7 | 135.1 | 41% | 65–85 | ✗ |
Marquette
@
North Carolina
|
+8.4 | 139.2 | 79% | 83–70 | ✗ |
Holy Cross
@
Boston University
|
+4.1 | 142.6 | 64% | 86–75 | ✗ |
American University
@
Loyola Maryland
|
+5.6 | 141.5 | 74% | 49–60 | ✓ |
Seton Hall
@
Butler
|
-3.9 | 129.5 | 36% | 52–61 | ✗ |
Temple
@
South Florida
|
+2.8 | 135.0 | 60% | 65–47 | ✗ |
South Carolina
@
Mississippi State
|
+4.2 | 144.2 | 69% | 48–69 | ✓ |
The Citadel
@
Furman
|
+12.4 | 152.1 | 86% | 63–72 | ✓ |
Chattanooga
@
Mercer
|
+2.0 | 140.4 | 65% | 77–81 | ✓ |
Western Carolina
@
UNC Greensboro
|
+11.1 | 145.3 | 86% | 81–80 | ✗ |
Stephen F. Austin
@
Northwestern State
|
-6.0 | 148.9 | 29% | 83–57 | ✓ |
Tulane
@
Memphis
|
+9.3 | 130.6 | 82% | 46–61 | ✓ |
Indiana
@
Rutgers
|
+2.5 | 136.4 | 67% | 63–74 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
SE Louisiana
|
+5.7 | 141.9 | 68% | 95–91 | ✗ |
LSU New Orleans
@
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
|
-0.7 | 143.2 | 34% | 69–61 | ✓ |
Houston Christian
@
Nicholls
|
+9.7 | 154.2 | 83% | 68–83 | ✓ |
Lamar
@
Incarnate Word
|
+3.5 | 134.5 | 59% | 67–45 | ✗ |
Northern Arizona
@
Southern Utah
|
+12.0 | 140.8 | 86% | 80–85 | ✓ |
Florida State
@
Miami
|
-11.5 | 144.8 | 18% | 88–71 | ✓ |
Sam Houston
@
Abilene Christian
|
+9.9 | 143.0 | 79% | 72–86 | ✓ |
Alabama
@
Arkansas
|
+1.9 | 157.3 | 68% | 66–81 | ✓ |
DePaul
@
Creighton
|
+12.2 | 144.2 | 86% | 53–77 | ✓ |
Tennessee
@
Vanderbilt
|
-5.4 | 139.5 | 33% | 70–58 | ✓ |
Xavier
@
Providence
|
+0.4 | 141.0 | 53% | 68–83 | ✓ |
Cincinnati
@
Tulsa
|
+1.8 | 129.0 | 60% | 70–69 | ✗ |
Fresno State
@
UNLV
|
+4.2 | 128.5 | 68% | 67–64 | ✗ |
Miami (OH)
@
Western Michigan
|
-4.3 | 134.6 | 29% | 74–66 | ✓ |
Eastern Michigan
@
Ohio
|
+14.7 | 150.2 | 90% | 67–86 | ✓ |
Central Michigan
@
Buffalo
|
+17.1 | 157.2 | 90% | 73–85 | ✓ |
St. Francis Brooklyn
@
Merrimack
|
+3.9 | 143.0 | 64% | 84–71 | ✗ |
UT Martin
@
SIU Edwardsville
|
+4.0 | 134.9 | 68% | 53–66 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.