Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | VAN +450 TENN -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +12 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -8.4 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -6.2 (-5.8) | 142.7 (-14.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -5.4 (-6.6) | 139.5 (-11.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -5.9 (-6.1) | 144.4 (-16.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -6.2 (-5.8) | 144.0 (-16.0) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VAN 75 – 68 TENN |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VAN 86 – 82 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TENN 69 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TENN 81 – 76 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VAN 76 – 75 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 10-7 |
| Home | 6-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 63.5 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#111) | 14.9 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#182) | 2.15 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#147) | 2.72 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#245) | 0.563 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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