Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -600 TULN +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +15 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -11.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -10.2 (+4.8) | 131.8 (-24.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -9.3 (+5.7) | 130.6 (-23.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -8.8 (+6.2) | 136.4 (-29.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -10.5 (+4.5) | 131.2 (-24.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | TULN 81 – 69 MEM |
| Mar 8, 2026 | MEM 96 – 95 TULN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TULN 78 – 76 MEM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MEM 78 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-8 | 10-13 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 4-12 |
| Home | 10-1 | 6-6 |
| Away | 4-3 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#58) | 0.7 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#60) | 0.42 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#57) | 0.72 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#83) | 0.472 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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