Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -163 MCN +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +4 | 186 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -5.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+40.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -5.1 (-9.1) | 145.9 (+40.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -5.7 (-9.7) | 141.9 (+44.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -5.3 (-9.3) | 144.5 (+41.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -5.4 (-9.4) | 145.5 (+40.5) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-18 | 10-14 |
| Conference | 5-10 | 4-10 |
| Home | 3-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#326) | -15.4 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#314) | -3.60 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#321) | -4.83 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#273) | 0.342 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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