Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -1200 EMU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +19 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -20.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -17.5 (+1.5) | 150.1 (+2.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -14.7 (+4.3) | 150.2 (+2.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -18.2 (+0.8) | 151.8 (+1.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -18.4 (+0.6) | 149.5 (+3.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | OHIO 68 – 67 EMU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | EMU 83 – 79 OHIO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | EMU 94 – 87 OHIO |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OHIO 85 – 67 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | EMU 90 – 79 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-8 | 6-12 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 3-11 |
| Home | 8-3 | 5-4 |
| Away | 4-4 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 80.4 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#93) | -12.0 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#115) | -2.44 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#117) | -2.87 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#100) | 0.408 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 59.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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