Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | BU -400 HC +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +11 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -3.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -4.4 (-15.4) | 144.1 (+16.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -4.1 (-15.1) | 142.6 (+18.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -4.2 (-15.2) | 144.9 (+16.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -3.7 (-14.7) | 143.8 (+17.2) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BU 78 – 63 HC |
| Feb 3, 2026 | BU 72 – 64 HC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HC 72 – 52 BU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | BU 69 – 59 HC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BU 94 – 84 HC |
Game Analysis
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