Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -175 UTM +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +13 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -7.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -5.3 (+7.7) | 140.1 (-21.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -4.0 (+9.0) | 134.9 (-15.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -4.5 (+8.5) | 138.8 (-19.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -5.1 (+7.9) | 140.2 (-21.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UTM 81 – 76 SIUE |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UTM 65 – 59 SIUE |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTM 76 – 71 SIUE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTM 85 – 82 SIUE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTM 90 – 79 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 8-16 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 2-8 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#323) | -16.2 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#311) | -1.89 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#305) | -2.98 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#278) | 0.407 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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