Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | L-MD -400 AMER +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +11 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | L-MD -4.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-35.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -5.9 (+5.1) | 144.1 (-35.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -5.6 (+5.4) | 141.5 (-32.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -6.2 (+4.8) | 144.6 (-35.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -5.6 (+5.4) | 145.6 (-36.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | L-MD 77 – 68 AMER |
| Dec 31, 2025 | AMER 84 – 69 L-MD |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMER 72 – 51 L-MD |
| Jan 14, 2025 | AMER 73 – 54 L-MD |
| Feb 8, 2024 | L-MD 44 – 43 AMER |
Game Analysis
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