Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LAS +188 DUQ -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +20 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -2.8 (+22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -2.1 (+22.1) | 138.5 (+11.5) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -1.7 (+21.7) | 135.1 (+14.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -2.1 (+22.1) | 139.2 (+10.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -1.9 (+21.9) | 139.6 (+10.4) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DUQ 62 – 61 LAS |
| Feb 26, 2025 | DUQ 67 – 62 LAS |
| Feb 29, 2024 | DUQ 75 – 63 LAS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LAS 81 – 70 DUQ |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DUQ 91 – 74 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-3 | 5-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#196) | 3.1 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#189) | 0.25 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#186) | 0.65 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#186) | 0.502 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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