Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LAS +138 DUQ -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +17 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -3.2 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -2.3 (-14.7) | 145.6 (+19.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -2.2 (-14.8) | 146.9 (+18.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -1.6 (-15.4) | 144.4 (+20.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -1.8 (-15.2) | 145.3 (+19.7) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DUQ 62 – 61 LAS |
| Feb 26, 2025 | DUQ 67 – 62 LAS |
| Feb 29, 2024 | DUQ 75 – 63 LAS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LAS 81 – 70 DUQ |
| Mar 5, 2022 | LAS 85 – 76 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 16-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#218) | 4.0 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#194) | 0.70 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#213) | 0.77 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#184) | 0.548 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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