Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +9 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -0.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -0.9 (-9.9) | 138.0 (+23.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -0.3 (-9.3) | 137.8 (+23.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -0.5 (-8.5) | 138.6 (+22.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -0.5 (-9.5) | 140.3 (+20.7) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DUQ 62 – 61 LAS |
| Feb 26, 2025 | DUQ 67 – 62 LAS |
| Feb 29, 2024 | DUQ 75 – 63 LAS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LAS 81 – 70 DUQ |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DUQ 91 – 74 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 5-13 |
| Home | 3-11 | 8-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L17 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#268) | -3.9 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#282) | -0.88 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#270) | -1.25 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#301) | 0.448 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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