Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -700 LAS +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +1 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -11.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -11.1 (-10.1) | 142.5 (-19.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -9.5 (-8.5) | 144.0 (-21.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -9.8 (-8.8) | 141.4 (-18.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -9.8 (-8.8) | 140.8 (-17.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2025 | DUQ 67 – 62 LAS |
| Feb 29, 2024 | DUQ 75 – 63 LAS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LAS 81 – 70 DUQ |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DUQ 91 – 74 LAS |
| Mar 5, 2022 | LAS 85 – 76 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#113) | -4.1 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#116) | -0.80 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#121) | -1.01 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#94) | 0.479 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.