Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | DUQ -320 LAS +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +11 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -6.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -5.5 (-16.5) | 146.5 (+4.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -6.0 (-17.0) | 147.7 (+3.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -6.7 (-17.7) | 148.0 (+3.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -6.7 (-17.7) | 147.0 (+4.0) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DUQ 62 – 61 LAS |
| Feb 26, 2025 | DUQ 67 – 62 LAS |
| Feb 29, 2024 | DUQ 75 – 63 LAS |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DUQ 91 – 74 LAS |
| Mar 5, 2022 | LAS 85 – 76 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#118) | -3.4 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#119) | -0.42 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#115) | -0.65 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#104) | 0.486 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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