Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -333 LAS +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +12 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -10.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -9.1 (+2.9) | 144.0 (-6.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -9.1 (+2.9) | 143.7 (-5.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -8.6 (+3.4) | 141.5 (-3.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -9.0 (+3.0) | 142.5 (-4.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DUQ 62 – 61 LAS |
| Feb 26, 2025 | DUQ 67 – 62 LAS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LAS 81 – 70 DUQ |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DUQ 91 – 74 LAS |
| Mar 5, 2022 | LAS 85 – 76 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#107) | -2.0 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#100) | -0.11 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#106) | -0.21 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#67) | 0.478 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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