Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +120 DUQ -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -1.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -1.8 (-3.2) | 139.1 (-10.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -2.3 (-2.7) | 138.6 (-9.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -2.1 (-2.9) | 138.0 (-9.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -1.9 (-3.1) | 137.9 (-8.9) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DUQ 62 – 61 LAS |
| Feb 29, 2024 | DUQ 75 – 63 LAS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LAS 81 – 70 DUQ |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DUQ 91 – 74 LAS |
| Mar 5, 2022 | LAS 85 – 76 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#238) | 0.5 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#201) | -0.46 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#217) | -0.14 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#193) | 0.479 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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