Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -1600 DEP +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +24 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -15.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -13.0 (+11.0) | 142.0 (-12.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -12.2 (+11.8) | 144.2 (-14.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -12.6 (+11.4) | 143.4 (-13.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -12.4 (+11.6) | 142.0 (-12.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CREI 85 – 81 DEP |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CREI 75 – 65 DEP |
| Jan 22, 2025 | CREI 73 – 49 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 5-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 2-8 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#18) | 1.8 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#24) | -0.09 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#22) | 0.12 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#68) | 0.438 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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