Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -900 NAU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -14.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -11.5 (-6.5) | 145.9 (+19.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -12.0 (-7.0) | 140.8 (+24.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -12.0 (-7.0) | 144.6 (+20.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -12.4 (-7.4) | 145.2 (+19.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2025 | NAU 65 – 57 SUU |
| Dec 21, 2024 | NAU 83 – 75 SUU |
| Dec 16, 2023 | NAU 76 – 74 SUU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | SUU 106 – 101 NAU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | SUU 79 – 48 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-4 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 4-10 |
| Home | 14-0 | 1-7 |
| Away | 5-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#164) | -11.8 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#119) | -2.10 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#140) | -2.86 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#89) | 0.452 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 59.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 78.5% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.