Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -400 NAU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +5 | 207 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -12.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (+51.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -9.3 (-4.3) | 152.9 (+54.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -12.2 (-7.2) | 149.8 (+57.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -10.1 (-5.1) | 151.5 (+55.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -10.9 (-5.9) | 153.2 (+53.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2025 | NAU 65 – 57 SUU |
| Dec 21, 2024 | NAU 83 – 75 SUU |
| Dec 16, 2023 | NAU 76 – 74 SUU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | SUU 79 – 48 NAU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | SUU 78 – 66 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#124) | -4.6 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#187) | -1.09 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#195) | -1.22 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#146) | 0.461 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.