That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Butler Bulldogs
61 – 52
FINAL Conference
Seton Hall Pirates
Big East Conference · Hinkle Fieldhouse · February 25, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread HALL -6.5 Home covered
O/U 129.5 Under
Money BTLR +275 / HALL -275
Model Predictions
Spread Total BTLR win
Actual BTLR +9 113 Won
Massey HALL -6.5 (+15.5) — —
Massey Totals — 132.1 (-19.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 28% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 22% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML HALL -4.9 (+13.9) 132.6 (-19.6) 29% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HALL -3.9 (+12.9) 129.5 (-16.5) 36% ✗
Baseline Plus ML HALL -5.0 (+14.0) 132.3 (-19.3) 35% ✗
Baseline ML HALL -4.5 (+13.5) 131.8 (-18.8) 33% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 HALL 63 – 56 BTLR
Jan 17, 2026 BTLR 77 – 66 HALL
Feb 5, 2025 BTLR 84 – 54 HALL
Jan 16, 2025 BTLR 82 – 77 HALL
Feb 25, 2024 HALL 76 – 64 BTLR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BTLR HALL
Overall 10-15 14-13
Conference 8-12 10-9
Home 8-4 7-4
Away 1-9 6-7
Neutral 1-2 1-2
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 63.5 71.3
Avg Pts Against 68.7 69.7
Massey 1.8 (#137) 10.6 (#45)
Bradley-Terry 0.46 (#134) 1.80 (#56)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.74 (#125) 2.49 (#51)
RPI 0.474 (#209) 0.577 (#51)
Shooting & Four Factors BTLR HALL
FG% 40.5% 45.2%
3PT% 32.7% 33.1%
REB / G 32.2 34.8
OREB / G 9.2 10.0
AST / TO 1.08 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.9% 51.3%
TOV% 17.5% 18.8%
ORB% 25.9% 29.6%
FT Rate 18.5% 27.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.8% 49.7%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 19.1%
DRB% 75.9% 70.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 19.1%

Game Analysis

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