He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · February 25, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -3.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money RUTG -150 / IU +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +11 137 Won
Massey RUTG -3.0 (+8.0) — —
Massey Totals — 134.9 (+2.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 69% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -3.7 (+7.3) 137.5 (-0.5) 68% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RUTG -2.5 (+8.5) 136.4 (+0.6) 67% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -3.7 (+7.3) 139.2 (-2.2) 70% ✓
Baseline ML RUTG -3.9 (+7.1) 138.3 (-1.3) 70% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 IU 82 – 59 RUTG
Jan 3, 2025 IU 84 – 74 RUTG
Jan 10, 2024 RUTG 66 – 57 IU
Feb 7, 2023 IU 66 – 60 RUTG
Dec 3, 2022 RUTG 63 – 48 IU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG IU
Overall 16-12 12-15
Conference 10-10 7-12
Home 10-4 6-6
Away 4-6 3-7
Neutral 2-2 3-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 69.2 69.7
Avg Pts Against 67.6 69.4
Massey 12.5 (#31) 11.9 (#33)
Bradley-Terry 2.22 (#31) 1.92 (#51)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.15 (#23) 2.81 (#31)
RPI 0.572 (#55) 0.538 (#107)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG IU
FG% 45.4% 44.8%
3PT% 31.8% 34.6%
REB / G 35.7 35.1
OREB / G 10.3 9.1
AST / TO 1.27 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 50.4%
TOV% 16.1% 17.3%
ORB% 28.7% 26.1%
FT Rate 18.0% 28.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 17.7%
DRB% 71.4% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 24.4%

Game Analysis

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